Major League Soccer

Apr 3, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Florida Citrus Bowl

Orlando City
2 - 4
Los Angeles

Pato (36'), Moutinho (45')
Araujo (31')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Rodriguez (24'), Murillo (38'), Sanchez (51'), Opoku (90+3')
Ginella (10'), Murillo (13'), Palacios (59'), Cifuentes (71'), Fall (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Orlando City 1-1 Los Angeles FC

Saturday's contest will be the first meeting between the two sides since August 2020, and with both sides enjoying encouraging starts to the MLS season, we think that neither team will want to risk losing the encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	Los Angeles FC
40.08%	24.7%	35.22%

Both teams to score 58.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.55%

44.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.18%

66.82%

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.86%

22.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.48%

55.52%

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.31%

24.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.77%

59.23%

Score Analysis

Orlando City 40.08%

Los Angeles FC 35.22%

Draw 24.7%

Orlando City	Draw	Los Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.69% 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.08%	1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7%	1-2 @ 8.06% 0-1 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 5.35% 1-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.22%