Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.