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Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Dec 4, 2021 at 11.30pm UK
Providence Park
Real Salt Lake

Portland
2 - 0
Salt Lake

Mora (5'), Moreno (61')
Moreno (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Herrera (58'), Ruiz (90+3')
Herrera (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Portland Timbers 1-1 Real Salt Lake (RSL wins on penalties)

 They have defied the odds time and again, and there is no reason to believe that they cannot do it once more as RSL will be bolstered by the return of their second-leading goalscorer in the regular season (Rusnak), while the Timbers are missing some critical pieces to their success, most notably Blanco, which could be a little too much for them to overcome in spite of their depth. We will give Salt Lake the edge in this one because they have been in so many win-or-go-home scenarios of late that it should not overwhelm them, especially since they will not be favourites according to the bookies heading into this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawReal Salt Lake
53.8%22.15%24.03%
Both teams to score 60.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.88%39.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.55%61.44%
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.41%14.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.34%42.65%
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5%29.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.49%65.51%
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 53.8%
    Real Salt Lake 24.04%
    Draw 22.15%
Portland TimbersDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.73%
1-0 @ 8.28%
2-0 @ 7.97%
3-1 @ 6.25%
3-0 @ 5.12%
3-2 @ 3.81%
4-1 @ 3.01%
4-0 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.84%
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 53.8%
1-1 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 4.3%
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.15%
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-1 @ 5.25%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 24.04%

How you voted: Portland vs Salt Lake

Portland Timbers
48.4%
Draw
29.0%
Real Salt Lake
22.6%
31
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2021 2.30am
Gameweek 45
Salt Lake
1-3
Portland
> Preview
Sep 26, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 35
Portland
6-1
Salt Lake
> Preview
Aug 8, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 24
Portland
3-2
Salt Lake
Asprilla (10' pen.), Chara (29'), Mora (62')
Valeri (89')
Rusnak (40'), Kreilach (80')
Glad (6'), Menendez (13'), Luiz (45+1'), Herrera (48'), Chang (87')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2020 2.30am
Gameweek 19
Salt Lake
2-1
Portland
Martinez (11'), Kreilach (26')
Silva (16'), Herrera (82'), Portillo (90+2')
Tuiloma (77')
Sep 27, 2020 3.30am
Gameweek 44
Portland
P-P
Salt Lake
rhs 2.0
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