Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2023 at 1am UK
Estádio Raimundo Sampaio
Atletico Mineiro2 - 1Athletico PR
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Athletico Paranaense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santos 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, April 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Athletico PR
Saturday, April 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 14.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
63.55% ( 0.77) | 21.78% ( -0.34) | 14.66% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 45.08% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.85% ( 0.54) | 51.14% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27% ( 0.47) | 72.99% ( -0.47) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.52% ( 0.44) | 15.48% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.64% ( 0.81) | 44.36% ( -0.82) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.34% ( -0.3) | 46.66% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.77% ( -0.23) | 82.23% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Atletico Mineiro 63.55%
Athletico Paranaense 14.66%
Draw 21.78%
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 13.47% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 2% Total : 63.55% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.78% | 0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.22% Total : 14.66% |
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 11pm
gameweek 21
Atletico Mineiro
2-3
Athletico PR
Dec 16, 2021 12.30am
Final 2nd Leg
Athletico PR
1-2
Atletico Mineiro
Form Guide
