MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 18:11:20| >> :60:8:8:
Atletico Mineiro
Copa do Brasil | Final | 1st Leg
Dec 12, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Athletico Paranaense

Atletico Mineiro
4 - 0
Athletico PR

Hulk (24' pen.), Keno (35'), Vargas (56', 69')
Hulk (22'), Arana (58'), Rabello (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Heleno (11'), Hernandez (19'), Henrique (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa do Brasil clash between Atletico Mineiro and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Athletico Paranaense

 Heading into this encounter, Galo have won their last 11 matches at home in all competitions and have not lost at Mineirao since a 2-1 defeat to Fortaleza at the end of May. Furacao seem to be well-suited to these knockout stage games, but they will need to be as stingy as ever to stop the offensive depth that Atletico possess, and it is hard to see that happening given that the Brasilerio champions have only been shut out once in their last 20 matches played in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 9.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.36%) and 3-0 (10.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawAthletico Paranaense
73.11%17.33%9.56%
Both teams to score 43.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.2%44.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.84%67.16%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.23%10.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.22%34.78%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.49%51.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.32%85.68%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 73.09%
    Athletico Paranaense 9.56%
    Draw 17.33%
Atletico MineiroDrawAthletico Paranaense
2-0 @ 13.77%
1-0 @ 12.36%
3-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 9.14%
3-1 @ 6.79%
4-0 @ 5.7%
4-1 @ 3.78%
5-0 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.25%
6-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 73.09%
1-1 @ 8.2%
0-0 @ 5.55%
2-2 @ 3.03%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 17.33%
0-1 @ 3.68%
1-2 @ 2.72%
0-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 9.56%

Head to Head
Nov 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Athletico PR
0-1
Atletico Mineiro

Eduardo (41')
Zaracho (45')
Costa (38'), Jair (41')
> Preview
Aug 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 14
Atletico Mineiro
2-0
Athletico PR
Vargas (60' pen.), Fialho de Carvalho Neto (69')
Mariano (45'), Fialho de Carvalho Neto (67'), Vargas (86')
Vargas (89')

Heleno (59'), Christian (80'), Erick (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 12, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 25
Athletico PR
0-1
Atletico Mineiro

Erick (52'), Cittadini (66')
Vargas (44')
Gabriel (68'), Rever (90+3')
Nov 18, 2020 10pm
Gameweek 6
Atletico Mineiro
0-2
Athletico PR

Keno (61'), Bueno (90+6')
Christian (35'), Nikao (45+1')
Richard (60'), Christian (88')
Nov 24, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 34
Atletico Mineiro
0-1
Athletico PR

Otero (35'), Welison (81'), Geuvanio (94')
Vitinho (87')
Anderson (43'), Romero (80')
rhs 2.0
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