Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Atletico Mineiro3 - 1Millonarios
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Atletico Mineiro and Millonarios.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, March 9 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, March 9 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, March 9 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, March 9 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 68.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Millonarios |
68.32% ( 0) | 19.18% ( 0.08) | 12.5% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 47.29% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.02% ( -0.53) | 44.98% ( 0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.66% ( -0.51) | 67.34% ( 0.52) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.89% ( -0.15) | 12.11% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.32% ( -0.32) | 37.68% ( 0.33) |
Millonarios Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.81% ( -0.46) | 46.19% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.13% ( -0.36) | 81.87% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Mineiro 68.31%
Millonarios 12.5%
Draw 19.18%
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Millonarios |
2-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 11.81% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.21% Total : 68.31% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.75% Total : 19.18% | 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.12% Total : 12.5% |
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-26 15:45:56
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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