Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Atletico Mineiro3 - 1Millonarios
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Atletico Mineiro and Millonarios.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, March 9 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, March 9 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Millonarios 1-1 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, March 9 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, March 9 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 68.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 12.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Millonarios |
68.32% ( 0) | 19.18% ( 0.08) | 12.5% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.29% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
