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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Cagliari logo

Empoli
0 - 1
Cagliari

FT(HT: 0-0)
Jankto (69')
Gaetano (17'), Mina (79'), Scuffet (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 2-3 Empoli
Saturday, February 24 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, February 25 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 2-1 Cagliari

As Empoli are enjoying their best form of the season, they should expect to overcome a fragile Cagliari side that cannot buy a win on the road. The Sardinians have scored only eight Serie A goals away from home this season, while their hosts are now full of confidence in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cagliari in this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawCagliari
35.88% (0.191 0.19) 27.36% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 36.76% (-0.252 -0.25)
Both teams to score 49.75% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (-0.224 -0.22)55.82% (0.219 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (-0.183 -0.18)76.94% (0.17700000000001 0.18)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (0.007000000000005 0.01)29.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)65.79% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)29.19% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (-0.322 -0.32)65.13% (0.31700000000001 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 35.87%
    Cagliari 36.75%
    Draw 27.36%
EmpoliDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 10.52% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.86% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.38% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 35.87%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.98% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.58% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.75%

How you voted: Empoli vs Cagliari

Empoli
65.0%
Draw
25.0%
Cagliari
10.0%
60
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 18
Cagliari
0-0
Empoli
Lapadula (29')
Maleh (29'), Cacace (64'), Walukiewicz (80')
Feb 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 25
Empoli
1-1
Cagliari
Pavoletti (84')
Pedro (40'), Marin (71')
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Cagliari
0-2
Empoli

Godin (75'), Nandez (90+4')
Di Francesco (29'), Stulac (69')
Zurkowski (21')
Jan 20, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 20
Cagliari
2-2
Empoli
Pavoletti (36'), Farias (90')
Di Lorenzo (70'), Zajc (81')
Aug 19, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Empoli
2-0
Cagliari
Krunic (14'), Caputo (52')
Antonelli (28'), Capezzi (66'), Rasmussen (90')

Romagna (44'), Barella (76'), Pisacane (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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