Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Cagliari |
39.71% (![]() | 25.96% (![]() | 34.32% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.1% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.77% (![]() | 50.23% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.81% (![]() | 72.19% (![]() |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.1% (![]() | 24.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.48% (![]() | 59.51% (![]() |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.03% (![]() | 27.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.4% (![]() | 63.6% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 9.68% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.58% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.71% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.87% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.86% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |