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Serie A
Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Frosinone logo

Atalanta
5 - 0
Frosinone

Koopmeiners (8' pen.), Ederson (13'), De Ketelaere (14'), Zappacosta (83'), Holm (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Romagnoli (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-2 Atalanta
Wednesday, January 10 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Frosinone

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 4-0 Frosinone
Thursday, January 11 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Atalanta BC 5-1 Frosinone

 Atalanta are flying high at present, with six wins from eight, and despite the absence of Lookman, others have stepped up to fill the goalscoring void, so a big win could be on the cards. Frosinone have the worst away record in the division, having taken just two points from nine games on the road, and only Salernitana have a worse defensive record, so this could get very ugly for the out-of-form visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.66%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 11.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawFrosinone
71.66% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 17.02% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05) 11.31% (-0.038 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.96% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86% (0.122 0.12)38.13% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.59% (0.13 0.13)60.4% (-0.133 -0.13)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.61% (0.048000000000002 0.05)9.38% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.41% (0.12 0.12)31.58% (-0.123 -0.12)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.24% (0.015999999999998 0.02)43.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.07% (0.012 0.01)79.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 71.65%
    Frosinone 11.31%
    Draw 17.02%
Atalanta BCDrawFrosinone
2-0 @ 11.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.49% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.43% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.54% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 2.1% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.008 0.01)
6-0 @ 1% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 71.65%
1-1 @ 8.03% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 17.02%
0-1 @ 3.39% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08%
1-3 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 11.31%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Frosinone

Atalanta BC
89.6%
Draw
5.2%
Frosinone
5.2%
77
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Frosinone
2-1
Atalanta
Harroui (5'), Monterisi (24')
Barrenechea (28')
Zapata (56')
Lookman (40'), de Roon (45+4')
> Preview
Jan 20, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 20
Frosinone
0-5
Atalanta

Ghiglione (88'), Matarese (90')
Mancini (11'), Zapata (44', 47', 64', 73')
Aug 20, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Atalanta
4-0
Frosinone
Papu (14', 90'), Hateboer (48'), Pasalic (61')

Perica (31'), Goldaniga (88')
Jan 23, 2016 5pm
Frosinone
0-0
Atalanta
Gori (30'), Ajeti (43')
Kurtic (41')
Aug 30, 2015 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-0
Frosinone
Stendardo (21'), Gomez (69')
Pinilla (36')

Blanchard (8'), Diakite (36'), Paganini (57'), Dionisi (92')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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