Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.66%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 11.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Frosinone |
71.66% (![]() | 17.02% (![]() | 11.31% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.86% (![]() | 38.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.59% (![]() | 60.4% (![]() |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.61% (![]() | 9.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.41% (![]() | 31.58% (![]() |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.24% (![]() | 43.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.07% (![]() | 79.92% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Frosinone |
2-0 @ 11.49% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.71% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.5% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.49% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 4.03% Total : 71.65% | 1-1 @ 8.03% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.1% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.97% Total : 17.02% | 0-1 @ 3.39% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.08% 1-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.2% Total : 11.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |