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Serie A
Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Frosinone logo

Lazio
3 - 1
Frosinone

Castellanos (70'), Isaksen (72'), Patric (84')
Patric (56'), Sarri (57'), Isaksen (78'), Cataldi (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Soule (58' pen.)
Okoli (74'), Barrenechea (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Lazio
Friday, December 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Frosinone

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 1-2 Juventus
Saturday, December 23 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-1 Frosinone

 Lazio's inconsistency means while they may be favourites for this one, it could be a much closer outing than Sarri would prefer. The visitors Frosinone are in the midst of a rut though, so this will be a tough task, especially because they have been poor on the road this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawFrosinone
58.19% (-0.12 -0.12) 23.27% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 18.54% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.47% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.18% (0.032999999999994 0.03)50.81% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.29% (0.027000000000001 0.03)72.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)17.19% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)47.46% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.53% (0.128 0.13)41.46% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.03% (0.113 0.11)77.96% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 58.18%
    Frosinone 18.54%
    Draw 23.26%
LazioDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 12.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.04% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 58.18%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.26%
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.86% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 18.54%

How you voted: Lazio vs Frosinone

Lazio
81.1%
Draw
12.6%
Frosinone
6.3%
95
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 22
Frosinone
0-1
Lazio

Ciano (66')
Caicedo (36')
Parolo (29'), Caicedo (44'), Leiva (61'), Strakosha (80'), Durmisi (90')
Sep 2, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Lazio
1-0
Frosinone
Alberto (49')
Parolo (20')

Brighenti (3'), Ghiglione (90')
Feb 21, 2016 5pm
Frosinone
0-0
Lazio
Rosi (75'), Chibsah (95')
Oct 4, 2015 5pm
Lazio
2-0
Frosinone
Balde Diao (80'), Djordjevic (94')
Biglia (53'), Gentiletti (59'), Anderson (67'), Balde Diao (81')

Dionisi (53')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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