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Vancouver Whitecaps
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BC Place Stadium
Minnesota United

Vancouver
0 - 1
Minnesota Utd


Veselinovic (18'), Sartini (19'), Raposo (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dotson (24' pen.)
Oluwaseyi (45+5'), Yeboah (69'), St Clair (75'), Abel Diaz Beleno (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 0-3 Seattle
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, October 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 1-3 Minnesota United

The Caps do not look sharp at the moment and need a spark from somewhere, but with their top chance creator (Gauld) potentially out again, we anticipate it will be another long 90 minutes for them versus a Loons outfit starting to build momentum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawMinnesota United
54.01% (-7.026 -7.03) 22.02% (1.769 1.77) 23.97% (5.261 5.26)
Both teams to score 60.63% (1.839 1.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.45% (-1.255 -1.26)38.55% (1.259 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.16% (-1.339 -1.34)60.84% (1.343 1.34)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.68% (-2.484 -2.48)14.32% (2.488 2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.86% (-5.064 -5.06)42.14% (5.068 5.07)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (4.081 4.08)29.24% (-4.077 -4.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (4.747 4.75)65.2% (-4.742 -4.74)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 54.01%
    Minnesota United 23.97%
    Draw 22.02%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-0 @ 8.14% (-0.275 -0.28)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-1.071 -1.07)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.723 -0.72)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-1.266 -1.27)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.06% (-0.686 -0.69)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.92 -0.92)
4-2 @ 1.88% (-0.178 -0.18)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.41 -0.41)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.488 -0.49)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 54.01%
1-1 @ 10% (0.754 0.75)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.556 0.56)
0-0 @ 4.19% (0.245 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.174 0.17)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 6.15% (1.07 1.07)
0-1 @ 5.15% (0.816 0.82)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.785 0.79)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.66 0.66)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.464 0.46)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.425 0.43)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 23.97%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Minnesota Utd

Vancouver Whitecaps
30.8%
Draw
7.7%
Minnesota United
61.5%
13
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2024 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
1-3
Vancouver
Hlongwane (30')
Sang-bin (13'), Bran (23'), Boxall (39'), Adebayo-Smith (90+6')
White (4'), Laborda (17'), Berhalter (60')
White (28'), Gauld (45+4'), Laborda (81')
May 7, 2023 3.30am
Mar 26, 2023 12.30am
Jul 9, 2022 3.30am
rhs 2.0
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