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Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
Minnesota United

Salt Lake
0 - 0
Minnesota Utd


Vera (32'), Arango (90')
Vera (90+3')
FT

Abel Diaz Beleno (5'), Dotson (24'), Yeboah (34'), Boxall (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 2-2 Salt Lake
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 3-0 Colorado
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Real Salt Lake 2-1 Minnesota United

The stakes will be high when Real Salt Lake and Minnesota United lock horns on Wednesday and we anticipate a cagey affair at the America First Field. While Ramsay's men head into the tie as the more in-form side, home advantage gives Real Salt Lake a slight edge and we predict that they will return to winning ways, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 17.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.81%) and 3-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawMinnesota United
64.1% (-0.89999999999999 -0.9) 18.34% (0.317 0.32) 17.56% (0.58 0.58)
Both teams to score 63.76% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.08% (-0.491 -0.49)29.92% (0.49 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.9% (-0.594 -0.59)51.1% (0.594 0.59)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.07% (-0.33200000000001 -0.33)8.93% (0.33 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.49% (-0.80800000000001 -0.81)30.5% (0.807 0.81)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (0.29100000000001 0.29)29.99% (-0.293 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (0.35 0.35)66.1% (-0.352 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 64.1%
    Minnesota United 17.56%
    Draw 18.34%
Real Salt LakeDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.58% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-0 @ 6.47% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.29% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 4.58% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 4.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.8% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-2 @ 2.76% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 2.21% (-0.094 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.84% (-0.093 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.33% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 64.1%
1-1 @ 7.79% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.68% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.83% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 18.34%
1-2 @ 4.69% (0.133 0.13)
0-1 @ 3.23% (0.114 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.94% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 17.56%

How you voted: Salt Lake vs Minnesota Utd

Real Salt Lake
66.7%
Draw
20.0%
Minnesota United
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2024 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
1-1
Salt Lake
Oluwaseyi (86')
Rosales (40'), Trapp (45+1')
Rosales (89')
Arango (24')
Katranis (64'), MacMath (82'), Eneli (90+1')
Jun 25, 2023 2.30am
Salt Lake
2-2
Minnesota Utd
Musovski (79'), Glad (90+8')
Silva (58')
Dotson (27'), Reynoso (39')
Irwin (90+2')
May 28, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
1-1
Salt Lake
Glad (31' og.)
Amarilla (4'), Taylor (73')
Savarino (28')
Glad (45+7'), Ojeda (59'), Rubin (71'), Mastroeni (73')
rhs 2.0
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