Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 13.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Salt Lake | Draw | Dallas |
68.96% ( 0.72) | 17.59% ( -0.24) | 13.45% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 55.91% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.84% ( -0) | 35.16% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.83% ( -0) | 57.17% ( 0) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.76% ( 0.17) | 9.24% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.76% ( 0.39) | 31.24% ( -0.39) |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.6% ( -0.68) | 38.39% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.85% ( -0.65) | 75.15% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Real Salt Lake | Draw | Dallas |
2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 4.56% Total : 68.96% | 1-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.59% | 1-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.85% Total : 13.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 69 | 45 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 57 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 56 |
4 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
6 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 44 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 42 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 37 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 37 |
10 | Toronto | 32 | 11 | 4 | 17 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 37 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 34 |
12 | DC United | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 63 | -17 | 34 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 33 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 55 | -18 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 52 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 52 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 50 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 53 | 5 | 50 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 48 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 45 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 45 |
10 | Dallas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
12 | St Louis City | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 34 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 31 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 37 | 72 | -35 | 18 |