We said: Real Salt Lake 0-1 Atlas
So much of the RSL attacking play filters through Arango, and not having him available could allow Atlas to play their stifling tactics, which have frustrated so many MLS sides at this tournament, allowing the Mexicans to eventually sneak a goal in.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Atlas win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Salt Lake in this match.