Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Azteca
Cruz Azul3 - 0Necaxa
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Necaxa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Pachuca 2-4 Cruz Azul
Sunday, September 29 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, September 29 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Queretaro 0-0 Necaxa
Saturday, September 28 at 2am in Liga MX
Saturday, September 28 at 2am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 16.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
Result | ||
Cruz Azul | Draw | Necaxa |
61.55% ( -0.46) | 21.62% ( 0.15) | 16.83% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 50.3% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.32% ( -0.07) | 46.69% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.05% ( -0.07) | 68.95% ( 0.07) |
Cruz Azul Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.35% ( -0.17) | 14.65% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.22% ( -0.33) | 42.78% ( 0.33) |
Necaxa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.93% ( 0.35) | 41.07% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.38% ( 0.31) | 77.62% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Cruz Azul 61.54%
Necaxa 16.83%
Draw 21.62%
Cruz Azul | Draw | Necaxa |
1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 61.54% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.83% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 12 | 27 | 42 |
2 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 35 |
3 | Tigres | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 34 |
4 | PumasPumas | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 31 |
5 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 30 |
7 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 29 |
8 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 27 |
9 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 25 |
10 | Atlas | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
11 | Club Leon | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 17 |
13 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
14 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 14 |
15 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 14 |
16 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 13 |
17 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 10 |
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