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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Oct 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Penarol

Nacional
vs.
Penarol

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 0-3 Nacional
Monday, September 30 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 0-0 Racing
Tuesday, October 1 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Penarol has a probability of 29.94% and a draw has a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Penarol win is 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.19%).

Result
NacionalDrawPenarol
41.59% (0.564 0.56) 28.47% (-0.347 -0.35) 29.94% (-0.211 -0.21)
Both teams to score 45.22% (0.85 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.13% (1.098 1.1)60.87% (-1.096 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.1% (0.819 0.82)80.89% (-0.815 -0.81)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (0.857 0.86)28.84% (-0.852 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3% (1.051 1.05)64.7% (-1.048 -1.05)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.54% (0.437 0.44)36.46% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.75% (0.437 0.44)73.24% (-0.434 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 41.59%
    Penarol 29.93%
    Draw 28.46%
NacionalDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 13.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.149 0.15)
2-0 @ 8.13% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.14 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 41.59%
1-1 @ 13.19% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 10.51% (-0.44 -0.44)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.46%
0-1 @ 10.6% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-2 @ 6.66% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 29.93%

Who will win Sunday's Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Penarol?

Nacional
Draw
Penarol
Nacional
100%
Draw
0.0%
Penarol
0.0%
1
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2024 7pm
Nacional
1-1
Penarol
(Aggregate 1-1 | Nacional win 0-0 on penalties)
Petit Abad (79')
Izquierdo (32'), Mejia (65'), Silvera (75')
Antoni (88'), Oliva (88')
Fernandez (34')
Hernandez (38'), Fernandez (51'), Rodriguez (64')
Batista (88'), Cristoforo (88')
Mar 29, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 6
Penarol
0-0
Nacional
Ramirez (79')
Carneiro (38'), Sanabria (55'), Mejia (59'), Bentancourt (80'), Oliva (80'), Cairus (90+3')
Nov 11, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Nacional
2-2
Penarol
Ramirez (30'), Baez (63')
Baez (63'), Baez (64'), Rodriguez (73')
Fagundez (35'), Suarez (35'), Suarez (36')
Neris (48'), Hernandez (87')
Coelho (15'), Gonzalez (31'), Rodriguez (72')
Coelho (35')
Apr 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Penarol
2-0
Nacional
Mendez (78'), Laquintana (90')
Sep 4, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Nacional
3-1
Penarol
Laborda (45+1'), Suarez (53'), Candido (76')
Lozano (12'), Zabala (90+7')
Mendez (61')
Rak (14'), Rossi (77'), Lozano (86'), Da Silveira (90+8')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1DanubioDanubio6420103714
2Boston RiverBoston River6411106413
3PenarolPenarol53201111011
4NacionalNacional5320104611
5Montevideo WanderersWanderers631298110
6Rampla JuniorsRampla531165110
7Racing de MontevideoRacing62314319
8Miramar Misiones62314319
9River PlateRiver Plate62221013-38
10Defensor SportingDefensor61328806
11LiverpoolLiverpool613245-16
12Cerro Largo612346-25
13FenixFenix511347-34
14CerroCerro6114311-84
15ProgresoProgreso501407-71
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado500529-70
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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