Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Oct 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional2 - 1Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Progreso 0-3 Nacional
Monday, September 30 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Monday, September 30 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
60
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Penarol |
41.12% ( -0.48) | 28.62% ( 0.15) | 30.26% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 44.94% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
