MX23RW : Tuesday, November 19 06:28:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Defensor

Nacional
1 - 1
Defensor

Polenta (67')
Polenta (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Spinelli (26')
De Los Santos (68'), Alvarez (83'), Dawson (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wanderers 0-2 Nacional
Sunday, September 15 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-2 Racing
Friday, September 13 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawDefensor Sporting
43.4% (-0.115 -0.12) 27.63%28.96% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 47.06% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.68% (0.036999999999999 0.04)58.32% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.06% (0.029 0.03)78.94% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)26.65% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.11% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)61.89% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (0.10600000000001 0.11)35.83% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (0.11 0.11)72.61% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 43.4%
    Defensor Sporting 28.96%
    Draw 27.63%
NacionalDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 12.62% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.35% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.55% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.63%
0-1 @ 9.8% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.03% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 28.96%

Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 4
Defensor
3-3
Nacional
Rivero (22'), Mansilla (52'), Duarte (54')
Bernal (24'), Mansilla (52'), Cuello (54'), Elizari (72'), De Los Santos (90+4')
Pereyra (10'), Carneiro (59' pen.), Santander (86')
Oliva (81'), Santander (88')
Dec 4, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 14
Nacional
1-0
Defensor
Rodriguez (81')
Lozano (33'), Chagas (45'), Chagas (45+1'), Rodriguez (74')
Rodriguez (82')

Martinez (29'), De Los Santos (44'), Bernal (65')
May 7, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 14
Defensor
2-2
Nacional
Candido (38' og.), Barcia (70')
Fagundez (17'), Ramirez (53' pen.)
Oct 8, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 12
Nacional
1-1
Defensor
Trezza (34')
Elizari (46')
Jun 13, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 1
Defensor
0-1
Nacional

Rocha (63')
Ramirez (76')
Carballo (33'), Lozano (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Texans
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1NacionalNacional13102134102432
2PenarolPenarol1310212432132
3Boston RiverBoston River138231710726
4DanubioDanubio13661134924
5Racing de MontevideoRacing13562129321
6Defensor SportingDefensor135441714319
7Miramar Misiones134631113-218
8Cerro Largo134451010016
9Rampla JuniorsRampla124351114-315
10FenixFenix134271223-1114
11Montevideo WanderersWanderers133461219-713
12LiverpoolLiverpool132651115-412
13River PlateRiver Plate123361118-712
14CerroCerro13265816-812
15ProgresoProgreso13157717-108
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado130310722-153
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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