MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 09:09:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Defensor
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Mar 10, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
3 - 3
Nacional

Rivero (22'), Mansilla (52'), Duarte (54')
Bernal (24'), Mansilla (52'), Cuello (54'), Elizari (72'), De Los Santos (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pereyra (10'), Carneiro (59' pen.), Santander (86')
Oliva (81'), Santander (88')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-2 Defensor
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Always Ready 1-0 Nacional
Friday, March 8 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawNacional
35.54% (-0.276 -0.28) 27.7% (0.087 0.09) 36.76% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 48.71% (-0.273 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.89% (-0.336 -0.34)57.11% (0.336 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01% (-0.27 -0.27)77.99% (0.27000000000001 0.27)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)30.58% (0.341 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (-0.406 -0.41)66.81% (0.407 0.41)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)29.82% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)65.91% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 35.54%
    Nacional 36.76%
    Draw 27.69%
Defensor SportingDrawNacional
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 35.54%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.12% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 11.03% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.76%

Head to Head
Dec 4, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 14
Nacional
1-0
Defensor
Rodriguez (81')
Lozano (33'), Chagas (45'), Chagas (45+1'), Rodriguez (74')
Rodriguez (82')

Martinez (29'), De Los Santos (44'), Bernal (65')
May 7, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 14
Defensor
2-2
Nacional
Candido (38' og.), Barcia (70')
Fagundez (17'), Ramirez (53' pen.)
Oct 8, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 12
Nacional
1-1
Defensor
Trezza (34')
Elizari (46')
Jun 13, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 1
Defensor
0-1
Nacional

Rocha (63')
Ramirez (76')
Carballo (33'), Lozano (90+4')
May 14, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 12
Defensor
0-2
Nacional

Mallo (68'), Balboa (85'), Sant'Anna (85')
Gigliotti (5'), Candido (77')
Monzeglio (23'), Trezza (40'), Coelho (53'), Gigliotti (87')
rhs 2.0
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