Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3

Mar 2, 2024 at 1pm UK

Parque Osvaldo Roberto

Racing
1 - 2
Defensor

Ferreira (34')
Rodriguez (74')

FT(HT: 1-1)

De Los Santos (6'), Elizari (65' pen.)
Mansilla (38'), Rodriguez (90'), Cabrera (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Racing de Montevideo and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions

Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 Racing
Friday, February 23 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Defensor Sporting

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Defensor 1-0 Puerto Cabello (2-4 pen.)
Wednesday, February 14 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 46.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Racing de Montevideo	Draw	Defensor Sporting
25.75% ( -4.57)	27.63% ( 0.04)	46.61% ( 4.52)

Both teams to score 45.01% (

-2.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.1% (

-2.24)

59.9% (

2.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.84% (

-1.74)

80.16% (

1.74)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.62% (

-4.93)

39.38% (

4.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.92% (

-4.92)

76.08% (

4.91)

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.25% (

1.29)

25.75% (

-1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.32% (

1.72)

60.68% (

-1.72)

Score Analysis

Racing de Montevideo 25.75%

Defensor Sporting 46.61%

Draw 27.62%

Racing de Montevideo	Draw	Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.94) 2-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.89) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.6) 3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.51) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.35) Other @ 1.45% Total : 25.75%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 10.13% ( 0.82) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.47) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.62%	0-1 @ 13.75% ( 1.57) 0-2 @ 9.33% ( 1.37) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.75) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.3) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.07% Total : 46.61%