Racing

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Defensor

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 43.54%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 26.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 1-2 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Defensor Sporting in this match.