Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 40.49%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 29.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.29%) and 1-2 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a La Luz win it was 1-0 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.

Result
La Luz	Draw	Racing de Montevideo
29.21% ( 0.41)	30.3% ( 0.09)	40.49% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 40.29% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.22% (

-0.14)

66.78% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.88% (

-0.09)

85.12% (

0.09)

La Luz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.66% (

0.25)

40.34% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.04% (

0.23)

76.96% (

-0.23)

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.53% (

-0.36)

32.46% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.01% (

-0.41)

68.99% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

La Luz 29.2%

Racing de Montevideo 40.48%

Draw 30.29%

La Luz	Draw	Racing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.35% Total : 29.2%	1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0) Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.29%	0-1 @ 14.73% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.48%