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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Earthquakes Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Earthquakes
0 - 1
Salt Lake

FT(HT: 0-0)
Luna (78')
Katranis (45'), Julio (53'), Julio (85'), MacMath (90+5'), Glad (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 3-2 Dallas
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, October 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Real Salt Lake

Beating Dallas would have offered the San Jose Earthquakes some cause for optimism coming into this weekend's encounter, which promises to be a stern test nonetheless. We fancy Real Salt Lake to carry the day, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawReal Salt Lake
42.91% (0.341 0.34) 23.1% (0.0010000000000012 0) 33.98% (-0.34 -0.34)
Both teams to score 64.23% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.99% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)37.01% (0.1 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.8% (-0.108 -0.11)59.2% (0.11 0.11)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (0.099999999999994 0.1)17.74% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.57% (0.174 0.17)48.43% (-0.17 -0.17)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)21.91% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.83% (-0.346 -0.35)55.17% (0.349 0.35)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 42.91%
    Real Salt Lake 33.98%
    Draw 23.1%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.72% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.2% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 42.91%
1-1 @ 10.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.89% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.39% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 33.98%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Salt Lake

San Jose Earthquakes
Draw
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes
7.1%
Draw
7.1%
Real Salt Lake
85.7%
14
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 2.30am
Sep 17, 2023 3.30am
Apr 23, 2023 2.30am
Jul 31, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
2-2
Salt Lake
Espinoza (12' pen.), Ebobisse (62')
Espinoza (45+2'), Yueill (85'), Covelo (86'), Gregus (90+5')
Loffelsend (21'), Savarino (90+5')
Glad (12'), MacMath (15'), Chang (37'), Savarino (90+6')
Jun 19, 2022 2.30am
Salt Lake
2-0
Earthquakes
Silva (22'), Savarino (81')
Schmitt (31'), Luiz (84')

Espinoza (68'), Cardoso (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew7430105515
2Inter MiamiInter Miami6420126614
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7412138513
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC7412127513
5FC CincinnatiCincinnati741299013
6Orlando City73221512311
7Chicago Fire73221412211
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls732297211
9Nashville SCNashville7313107310
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta72321112-19
11New York City FCNY City72231011-18
12DC United7133917-86
13New England RevolutionNew England611437-44
14Toronto7034713-63
15CF MontrealMontreal7025412-82

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver7511125716
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd7421117414
3Austin FCAustin741253213
4Portland TimbersPortland732298111
5Dallas73221010011
6Colorado RapidsColorado732289-111
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes73131510510
8Los Angeles FCLos Angeles7304810-29
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake7304711-49
10St Louis City72234408
11Seattle SoundersSeattle7133811-36
12Houston DynamoHouston7124511-65
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas7115812-44
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy7025514-92
15San Diego FC00000000


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