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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Earthquakes Stadium
FC Dallas

Earthquakes
3 - 2
Dallas

Lopez (13', 79'), Ebobisse (83')
Marie (36'), Gruezo (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Velasco (41'), Ibeagha (90')
Burgess (15'), Velasco (55'), Ibeagha (60'), Arriola (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 3-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Dallas

The onus will be on Dallas to get the job done and keep their already slim chances of making it through to the playoffs alive. We are backing the visitors to rise up to expectations by claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawDallas
48.05% (0.144 0.14) 23.57% (0.105 0.11) 28.38% (-0.244 -0.24)
Both teams to score 59.47% (-0.557 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.01% (-0.651 -0.65)41.99% (0.65499999999999 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.61% (-0.658 -0.66)64.39% (0.662 0.66)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.33% (-0.194 -0.19)17.67% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.7% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)48.3% (0.345 0.34)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.24% (-0.502 -0.5)27.76% (0.505 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.66% (-0.649 -0.65)63.34% (0.653 0.65)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 48.05%
    Dallas 28.38%
    Draw 23.57%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawDallas
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.194 0.19)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 48.05%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.143 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.29% (0.096 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 28.38%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Dallas

San Jose Earthquakes
28.6%
Draw
0.0%
Dallas
71.4%
14
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 1.30am
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
May 28, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-1
Dallas
Kikanovic (70')
Yueill (25'), Marie (49'), Gruezo (90+9'), Judson (90')
Judson (90+10')
Burgess (90+4')
Farfan (69'), Burgess (90')
Sep 18, 2022 3.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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