While Colorado Rapids have nothing to play for, Houston Dynamo will be looking to build momentum ahead of the start of post-season action. Despite the result, we are backing Olsen's men to take the positives from Thursday's draw against Montreal and claim all three points this weekend.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 68.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.