MX23RW : Thursday, December 19 07:36:47| >> :60:614:614:
Leagues Cup | Group Stage
Aug 6, 2024 at 2am UK
Children's Mercy Park
Sporting Kansas

Toluca
2 - 1
Kansas

Angulo (40'), Araujo (66')
Meneses (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Afrifa (45+1')
Leibold (45+3'), Rosero (79'), Vermes (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Leagues Cup clash between Toluca and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Chicago Fire
Friday, August 2 at 2am in Leagues Cup

We said: Toluca 1-2 Sporting Kansas City

This looks like a very even contest after both these sides put in similar performances against Chicago in their opening matches of the competition. However, with the 'home' advantage and in-form striker, we feel Sporting KC will be able to edge the Liga MX side to the top spot in the group. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 16.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Toluca in this match.

Result
TolucaDrawSporting Kansas City
66.53% (-0.85299999999999 -0.85) 17.41% (0.249 0.25) 16.06% (0.61 0.61)
Both teams to score 64.06% (0.551 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.87% (0.048999999999992 0.05)28.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.1% (0.059999999999995 0.06)48.9% (-0.055 -0.05)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.07% (-0.16 -0.16)7.93% (0.165 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.97% (-0.411 -0.41)28.03% (0.416 0.42)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58% (0.72200000000001 0.72)30.42% (-0.716 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38% (0.851 0.85)66.62% (-0.84599999999999 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 66.53%
    Sporting Kansas City 16.06%
    Draw 17.41%
TolucaDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.79% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.75% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-0 @ 6.55% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-0 @ 6.11% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.94% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.64% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 4.15% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-2 @ 2.94% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.1% (-0.093 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.17% (0.028 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 66.53%
1-1 @ 7.28% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.113 0.11)
0-0 @ 2.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.84% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 17.41%
1-2 @ 4.33% (0.123 0.12)
0-1 @ 2.87% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.72% (0.082 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.71% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 16.06%

How you voted: Toluca vs Kansas

Toluca
41.9%
Draw
12.9%
Sporting Kansas City
45.2%
31
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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