MX23RW : Monday, September 30 02:44:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 21, 2024 at 4.05am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
1 - 1
Toluca

Sepulveda (90')
Rodriguez (12'), Giakoumakis (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Araujo (38')
Gallardo (31'), Ruiz (42')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Tijuana
Wednesday, July 17 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Mazatlan
Thursday, July 18 at 4am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 50.61%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawToluca
50.61% (-0.308 -0.31) 23.83% (0.144 0.14) 25.56% (0.164 0.16)
Both teams to score 56.14% (-0.321 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (-0.498 -0.5)45.28% (0.498 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (-0.479 -0.48)67.62% (0.479 0.48)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.304 -0.3)17.94% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.23% (-0.527 -0.53)48.76% (0.527 0.53)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41% (-0.137 -0.14)31.58% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.01% (-0.157 -0.16)67.98% (0.157 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 50.61%
    Toluca 25.56%
    Draw 23.83%
Cruz AzulDrawToluca
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.112 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.61%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.114 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.47% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 25.56%

Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 2am
Gameweek 17
Toluca
0-1
Cruz Azul
Ditta (18')
Rodriguez (71'), Candido (73')
Jul 9, 2023 12.50am
Gameweek 2
Cruz Azul
0-2
Toluca

Cambindo (52'), Rivero (53'), Jimenez (83'), Rotondi (90+3')
Jurado (39')
Volpi (37' pen.), Dominguez (90+2')
Lopez (29'), Huerta (29'), Dominguez (57'), Araujo (65')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 6
Toluca
3-1
Cruz Azul
Araujo (32', 54'), Saucedo (87')
Rotondi (28')
Aug 14, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 8
Cruz Azul
2-3
Toluca
Funes Mori (18'), Huescas (81')
Carneiro (69'), Baca (90+1'), Rivero (90+1'), Uriel (90+2')
Jurado (90+1')
Meneses (30'), Ruiz (43'), Sanvezzo (90+5' pen.)
Huerta (44'), Volpi (62')
Feb 21, 2022 12.05am
Gameweek 6
Toluca
1-4
Cruz Azul
Rodriguez (5'), Baeza (40'), Garcia (53')
Lira (13'), Rodriguez (24'), Escobar (57'), Mayorga (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.20am
Bills
@
Ravens
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul108112381525
2TolucaToluca1063121101121
3Tigres10631146821
4MonterreyMonterrey116321513221
5PumasPumas106131410419
6Atletico San Luis115241813517
7Club TijuanaTijuana105231516-117
8CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara10433158715
9Atlas104241215-314
10NecaxaNecaxa10343138513
11Club AmericaAmerica104151212013
12PueblaPuebla113261419-511
13PachucaPachuca102351017-79
14Club Leon101541016-68
15Santos LagunaSantos Laguna10226917-88
16QueretaroQueretaro11227718-118
17MazatlanMazatlan10145611-57
18Juarez102171223-117
> Liga MX Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!