MX23RW : Friday, June 28 18:15:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | 1st Leg
May 9, 2024 at 2.05am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
1 - 0
Toluca

Alfonso Guzman Guzman (87')
Gutierrez (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (83')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: Atlas 0-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 28 at 4.10am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 0-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, April 28 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CD Guadalajara in this match.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
48.6% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 24.18% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 27.22% (0.102 0.1)
Both teams to score 56.48% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.48% (0.124 0.12)45.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15% (0.118 0.12)67.85% (-0.117 -0.12)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.18% (0.013999999999996 0.01)18.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.75% (0.021000000000001 0.02)50.25% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58% (0.14100000000001 0.14)30.42% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.37% (0.168 0.17)66.62% (-0.166 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 48.6%
    Toluca 27.22%
    Draw 24.17%
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.45% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 48.6%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 6.81% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.77% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 27.22%

Head to Head
Jan 31, 2024 3.05am
Gameweek 4
Guadalajara
3-2
Toluca
Beltran (1'), Perez (43'), Marin (81')
Orozco (14'), Perez (45+5'), Gutierrez (62'), Castillo (65')
Ruiz (7'), Garcia (45+3')
Belmonte (45+4'), Pereira (45+9'), Angulo (71'), Ruiz (83')
Oct 2, 2023 12.20am
Gameweek 10
Toluca
1-1
Guadalajara
Lopez (62')
Raul (42'), Mosquera (80'), Navarro (90+5')
Marin (69')
Sepulveda (14'), Paunovic (15'), Mozo (54'), Raul Rangel Aguilar (74')
Jan 22, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 3
Guadalajara
1-2
Toluca
Huerta (31' og.)
Gonzalez (60'), Ruiz (84')
Sep 4, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 12
Toluca
0-0
Guadalajara
Apr 10, 2022 1am
Gameweek 13
Toluca
1-1
Guadalajara
Fernandez (90+7')
Huerta (19'), Gonzalez (35'), Castaneda (90+5')
Juan Macias (68')
Olivas (17'), Brizuela (29'), Juan Macias (90+1')
Cisneros (24')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

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Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

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Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

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Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
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