MX23RW : Friday, November 22 23:11:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Apr 7, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
4 - 1
Atlas

Pereira (5'), Vega (35'), Angulo (67'), Lopez (90+3')
Zapata (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lozano (87')
Marquez (45+3'), Murillo (77'), Murillo (85')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atlas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pachuca 2-3 Toluca
Sunday, March 31 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 2-3 Queretaro
Monday, April 1 at 12am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 21.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Atlas win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawAtlas
54.41% (-0.437 -0.44) 23.9% (0.229 0.23) 21.69% (0.206 0.21)
Both teams to score 51.4% (-0.425 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.61% (-0.707 -0.71)49.38% (0.706 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.57% (-0.641 -0.64)71.43% (0.63800000000001 0.64)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95% (-0.42399999999999 -0.42)18.04% (0.422 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.05% (-0.729 -0.73)48.94% (0.727 0.73)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.72% (-0.195 -0.2)37.27% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.94% (-0.194 -0.19)74.06% (0.191 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 54.4%
    Atlas 21.69%
    Draw 23.89%
TolucaDrawAtlas
1-0 @ 11.51% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 9.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.63% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.075 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 54.4%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.192 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.155 0.16)
1-2 @ 5.61% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 21.69%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 12am
Gameweek 6
Atlas
0-0
Toluca
Rocha (27'), Lozano (59'), Zapata (90+2')
Mora (45+7')
Feb 2, 2023 2.05am
Jul 10, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 2
Toluca
3-2
Atlas
Fernandez (3'), Navarro (10'), Huerta (15')
Meneses (90+1')
Ruiz (72')
Ocejo (43'), Rocha (84')
Nervo (39'), Zaldivar (41'), Chala (59'), Santamaria (65')
Apr 24, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 16
Toluca
2-4
Atlas
Huerta (4'), Violante (89')
Vanegas (45'), Gonzalez (45')
Vanegas (57')
Rocha (8'), Quinones (45+1', 90+7'), Furch (58' pen.)
Quinones (45+2'), Reyes (60'), Santamaria (72'), Zaldivar (82'), Marquez (90+2')
Aug 21, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 6
Atlas
0-0
Toluca
Marquez (36')
Baeza (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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