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Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jan 22, 2023 at 3.10am UK
Estadio AKRON

Guadalajara
1 - 2
Toluca

Huerta (31' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gonzalez (60'), Ruiz (84')
Baeza (36')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between CD Guadalajara and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 2-2 America
Sunday, January 15 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 57.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 19.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
57.18% (-0.101 -0.1) 23.37% (0.0010000000000012 0) 19.44% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 49.69% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (0.122 0.12)49.97% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (0.108 0.11)71.95% (-0.111 -0.11)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.75% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)17.25% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.44% (0.013999999999996 0.01)47.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.05% (0.178 0.18)39.95% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.4% (0.162 0.16)76.6% (-0.164 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    CD Guadalajara 57.18%
    Toluca 19.44%
    Draw 23.37%
CD GuadalajaraDrawToluca
1-0 @ 12.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.64% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 57.18%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.37%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.1% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.9% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 19.44%

Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 11.30pm
Apr 10, 2022 1am
Toluca
1-1
Guadalajara
Fernandez (90+7')
Huerta (19'), Gonzalez (35'), Castaneda (90+5')
Juan Macias (68')
Olivas (17'), Brizuela (29'), Juan Macias (90+1')
Cisneros (24')
Oct 17, 2021 11pm
Guadalajara
2-0
Toluca
Huerta (45+6'), Cisneros (90+5')
Sepulveda (49'), Cisneros (55'), Huerta (57'), Uriel (77')

Baeza (41'), Sambueza (44')
Jan 16, 2021 11pm
Guadalajara
1-1
Toluca
Molina (23')
Sanchez (51')
Castaneda (25')
Triverio (66'), Rigonato Rodrigues (76'), Torres (79')
Aug 23, 2020 11.30pm
Toluca
1-0
Guadalajara
Gonzalez (60')
Sambueza (61'), da Silva (69'), Mora (75')

Molina (89'), Maduena (90')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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