Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Feb 21, 2022 at 12.05am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca1 - 4Cruz Azul
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Cruz Azul.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Cruz Azul |
| 28.47% | 27.22% | 44.31% |
| Both teams to score 47.94% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.94% | 57.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.05% | 77.94% |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.45% | 35.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.68% | 72.31% |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.39% | 25.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.51% | 60.49% |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 28.47%
Cruz Azul 44.31%
Draw 27.21%
| Toluca | Draw | Cruz Azul |
| 1-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 1.68% 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.03% Total : 28.47% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 12.4% 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 8.45% 1-3 @ 3.97% 0-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.22% Total : 44.31% |
Head to Head
May 16, 2021 2.05am
May 13, 2021 1am
Feb 21, 2021 1am
Gameweek 6
Cruz Azul
3-2
Toluca
Oct 4, 2020 6pm
