Toluca
2 - 1
Cruz Azul

Canelo (27' pen.), Estrada (52' pen.)
Barbieri (40'), Sambueza (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Fernandez (34')
Romo (12')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Cruz Azul.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 51.32%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Cruz Azul
24.43%	24.25%	51.32%

Both teams to score 53.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.92%

48.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.76%

70.24%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.96%

34.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.28%

70.72%

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.27%

18.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.89%

50.1%

Score Analysis

Toluca 24.43%

Cruz Azul 51.32%

Draw 24.24%

Toluca	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 6.87% 2-1 @ 6.2% 2-0 @ 3.7% 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.23% Total : 24.43%	1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 6.38% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.24%	0-1 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-2 @ 8.94% 1-3 @ 5.38% 0-3 @ 4.99% 2-3 @ 2.9% 1-4 @ 2.25% 0-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.23% Total : 51.32%