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Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Feb 21, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Azul

Cruz Azul
3 - 2
Toluca

Rodriguez (7'), Alvarado (27'), Fernandez (63')
Aldrete (32')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Barbieri (44'), Canelo (45+1' pen.)
Juan Vazquez (16'), Estrada (55'), Sambueza (76'), Rigonato Rodrigues (90+4')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 17.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawToluca
59.89%22.9%17.21%
Both teams to score 47.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.71%51.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.88%73.11%
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.24%16.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.3%46.7%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.67%43.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.43%79.57%
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 59.88%
    Toluca 17.21%
    Draw 22.89%
Cruz AzulDrawToluca
1-0 @ 12.97%
2-0 @ 11.58%
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 6.9%
3-1 @ 5.77%
4-0 @ 3.08%
4-1 @ 2.58%
3-2 @ 2.41%
5-0 @ 1.1%
4-2 @ 1.08%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 59.88%
1-1 @ 10.84%
0-0 @ 7.26%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 22.89%
0-1 @ 6.07%
1-2 @ 4.54%
0-2 @ 2.54%
1-3 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 17.21%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 13
Toluca
2-0
Cruz Azul
Ortega (24'), Sauro (50')
Feb 2, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 4
Toluca
3-3
Cruz Azul
Canelo (16'), Fernandez (19', 95')
Guemez (35'), Gigliotti (64'), Mora (74'), Escamilla (84')
Gimenez (2'), Rodriguez (37' pen.), Hernandez (52')
Romo (45'), de Jesus Corona (64'), Aguilar (86'), Baca (92')
Jul 28, 2019 3am
Feb 10, 2019 6pm
Toluca
1-1
Cruz Azul
Mora (66')
da Silva (23'), Maidana (76')
Pineda (26')
Baca (24'), Aldrete (54')
Aug 23, 2018 1am
Gameweek 6
Cruz Azul
1-0
Toluca
Cauteruccio (35')
Corona (84')

Dominguez (52')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul108112381525
2TolucaToluca1063121101121
3Tigres10631146821
4MonterreyMonterrey116321513221
5Atletico San Luis115241813517
6Club TijuanaTijuana105231516-117
7PumasPumas95131310316
8CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara10433158715
9Atlas104241215-314
10NecaxaNecaxa10343138513
11Club AmericaAmerica94141211113
12PueblaPuebla113261419-511
13PachucaPachuca102351017-79
14Club Leon101541016-68
15Santos LagunaSantos Laguna10226917-88
16QueretaroQueretaro11227718-118
17MazatlanMazatlan10145611-57
18Juarez102171223-117


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