Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
