MX23RW : Sunday, January 5 16:17:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Feb 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca
3 - 1
Cruz Azul

Araujo (32', 54'), Saucedo (87')
Fernandez (24'), Mosquera (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rotondi (28')
Dominguez (15'), Carneiro (41'), de Jesus Corona (51'), Escobar (89')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Monterrey 2-1 Toluca
Monday, February 6 at 1.10am in Liga MX

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last Game: Cruz Azul 0-1 Tigres
Sunday, February 5 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawCruz Azul
43.04% (0.217 0.22) 25.32% (-0.032 -0.03) 31.64% (-0.188 -0.19)
Both teams to score 55.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.82% (0.058999999999997 0.06)48.18% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67% (0.055 0.05)70.33% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (0.12599999999999 0.13)22.33% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.2% (0.192 0.19)55.8% (-0.194 -0.19)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)28.67% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.51% (-0.119 -0.12)64.49% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 43.04%
    Cruz Azul 31.64%
    Draw 25.32%
TolucaDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 9.6% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.2% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.6% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.04%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 8% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.64%

Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 11pm
Cruz Azul
2-3
Toluca
Funes Mori (18'), Huescas (81')
Carneiro (69'), Baca (90+1'), Rivero (90+1'), Uriel (90+2')
Jurado (90+1')
Meneses (30'), Ruiz (43'), Sanvezzo (90+5' pen.)
Huerta (44'), Volpi (62')
Feb 21, 2022 12.05am
Toluca
1-4
Cruz Azul
Sanvezzo (20')
Rodriguez (5'), Baeza (40'), Garcia (53')
Escobar (7'), Rodriguez (64'), Gimenez (79' pen., 82')
Lira (13'), Rodriguez (24'), Escobar (57'), Mayorga (75')
Aug 15, 2021 3am
Cruz Azul
4-0
Toluca
Angulo (3', 34'), Gimenez (5'), Pineda (71')
Martinez (38'), Alvarado (77')

Ortega (37'), Baeza (76'), Torres (88')
Ortega (39')
May 16, 2021 2.05am
Cruz Azul
3-1
Toluca
Angulo (12'), Rodriguez (80' pen.), Gimenez (90+3')
Gimenez (90+5')
Canelo (14')
Juan Vazquez (34'), Baeza (39')
May 13, 2021 1am
Toluca
2-1
Cruz Azul
Canelo (27' pen.), Estrada (52' pen.)
Barbieri (40'), Sambueza (77')
Fernandez (34')
Romo (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


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