Championship

Championship | Gameweek 41

Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK

City Ground

Nott'm Forest
2 - 0
Birmingham

Davis (5'), McKenna (79')
Zinckernagel (54')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gordon (25'), Gardner (43'), Colin (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

Last Six:

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, May 29 at 4.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Huddersfield Town	46	17	82
4	Nottingham Forest	46	33	80
5	Sheffield United	46	18	75

Birmingham City

Last Six:

Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Hull City	46	-13	51
20	Birmingham City	46	-25	47
21	Reading	46	-33	41

We said: Nottingham Forest 2-0 Birmingham City

While Blues will be high in confidence after their recent form, a trip to the City Ground is currently the toughest test at this level. With that in mind, we expect another professional showing from Forest, who may score a goal in either half to make relatively light work of their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nottingham Forest.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Birmingham City
56.66%	24.43%	18.91%

Both teams to score 45.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.25%

54.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.94%

76.06%

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.79%

19.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.09%

50.91%

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.67%

43.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.43%

79.57%

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 56.65%

Birmingham City 18.91%

Draw 24.43%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 13.73% 2-0 @ 11.32% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 6.23% 3-1 @ 5.21% 4-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 2.15% Other @ 3.79% Total : 56.65%	1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.66% Total : 24.43%	0-1 @ 6.96% 1-2 @ 4.8% 0-2 @ 2.91% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.79% Total : 18.91%