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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Cardiff City logo

Millwall
2 - 1
Cardiff

Wallace (73'), Bennett (82')
Wallace (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bagan (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Millwall 1-1 Cardiff City

Cardiff's turnaround in form will give the Bluebirds plenty of reason to be confident as they head to The Den, particularly against a Millwall side struggling to put wins on the board. The Lions are gradually getting key players back from injury, though, and we think that they will hold the Welsh side to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 24.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawCardiff City
47.84%27.74%24.42%
Both teams to score 43.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.92%61.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.95%81.05%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.32%25.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.41%60.59%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.74%41.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.21%77.79%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 47.84%
    Cardiff City 24.42%
    Draw 27.73%
MillwallDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 14.4%
2-0 @ 9.79%
2-1 @ 8.67%
3-0 @ 4.44%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.51%
4-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 47.84%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.73%
0-1 @ 9.38%
1-2 @ 5.64%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.23%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 24.42%

How you voted: Millwall vs Cardiff

Millwall
15.6%
Draw
53.1%
Cardiff City
31.3%
32
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Cardiff
3-1
Millwall
Flint (66', 70'), Morrison (83')
Flint (51'), Nelson (86')
Afobe (76')
Cooper (65')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 27
Cardiff
1-1
Millwall
Moore (71')
Bennett (69'), Vaulks (76'), Morrison (84')
Flint (9' og.)
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Millwall
1-1
Cardiff
Smith (35')
Woods (72'), Williams (88'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+5')
Moore (80')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 24
Cardiff
1-1
Millwall
Flint (59')
Hoilett (81')
Wallace (63')
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Millwall
2-2
Cardiff
Bradshaw (45', 77')
Cooper (77')
Ward (12'), Hoilett (57')
Bennett (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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