FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Feb 6, 2022 at 12pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
3 - 1
Cardiff

Jota (53'), Minamino (68'), Elliott (76')
Kelleher (46')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Colwill (80')
Vaulks (52')

Harvey Elliott: 'Liverpool return brought a tear to my eye'

Liverpool midfielder Harvey Elliott admits that returning to the Anfield turf after nearly five months out injured against Cardiff City brought a tear to his eye.

Feb 7, 11:23

Roy Keane, Ian Wright lavish praise on "really sharp" Harvey Elliott

Roy Keane and Ian Wright lavish praise on Harvey Elliott after the 18-year-old scores his first Liverpool goal against Cardiff City after nearly five months out.

Feb 6, 23:57

Luis Diaz in action for Liverpool on February 6, 2022

Jurgen Klopp plays down Luis Diaz injury concerns

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp plays down any fears of a serious injury for Luis Diaz after Sunday's 3-1 FA Cup win over Cardiff City.

Feb 6, 14:39

Jurgen Klopp lauds "fearless" Harvey Elliott after first Liverpool goal

Jurgen Klopp pays tribute to "fearless" Harvey Elliott as the 18-year-old scores his first Liverpool goal against Cardiff City after nearly five months out.

Feb 6, 14:23

The Match

We said: Liverpool 3-0 Cardiff City

A raft of players out either injured or ineligible makes this an even more daunting encounter than Cardiff would have initially anticipated, and Morison will not be expecting miracles on the Anfield turf. Klopp will certainly shuffle the pack himself, but even in the absence of Salah, Mane and Diaz, we can only envisage the more experienced Reds advancing comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 77.1%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 8.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.79%) and 1-0 (10.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Cardiff City
77.1%	14.83%	8.06%

Both teams to score 45.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.86%

38.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.58%

60.42%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.85%

8.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.43%

28.57%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.58%

50.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.05%

84.94%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 77.09%

Cardiff City 8.06%

Draw 14.83%

Liverpool	Draw	Cardiff City
2-0 @ 12.91% 3-0 @ 10.79% 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 8.84% 3-1 @ 7.4% 4-0 @ 6.77% 4-1 @ 4.64% 5-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.53% 5-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.59% 6-0 @ 1.42% 6-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.21% Total : 77.09%	1-1 @ 7.05% 0-0 @ 4.11% 2-2 @ 3.03% Other @ 0.64% Total : 14.83%	0-1 @ 2.81% 1-2 @ 2.42% 0-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.88% Total : 8.06%