Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 22

Jan 16, 2022 at 2pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
3 - 0
Brentford

Fabinho (44'), Oxlade-Chamberlain (69'), Minamino (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ajer (19')

Liverpool leapfrog Chelsea into second with Brentford win

Liverpool move back up to second in the Premier League table courtesy of a comfortable 3-0 win over Brentford at Anfield.

Jan 16, 15:54

The Match

We said: Liverpool 2-0 Brentford

Liverpool simply cannot afford another performance with so little attacking inspiration, and Brentford's leaky tendencies away from home should help them right the wrongs of Thursday night. Frank's side have already taken points off Liverpool once this season, but their downward spiral should continue with a comprehensive defeat on Merseyside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 75.57%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 8.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 3-0 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Brentford win it was 0-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Brentford
75.57%	15.65%	8.78%

Both teams to score 45.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.47%

39.52%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.12%

61.88%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.18%

8.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.77%

30.23%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.3%

49.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.55%

84.45%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 75.56%

Brentford 8.78%

Draw 15.65%

Liverpool	Draw	Brentford
2-0 @ 12.92% 1-0 @ 10.64% 3-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 7.32% 4-0 @ 6.35% 4-1 @ 4.44% 5-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.56% 5-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.55% 6-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.79% Total : 75.56%	1-1 @ 7.44% 0-0 @ 4.38% 2-2 @ 3.16% Other @ 0.66% Total : 15.65%	0-1 @ 3.06% 1-2 @ 2.6% 0-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.05% Total : 8.78%