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Chelsea logo
EFL Cup | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Jan 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Middlesbrough logo

Chelsea
6 - 1
Middlesbrough

Howson (15' og.), Fernandez (29'), Disasi (36'), Palmer (42', 77'), Madueke (81')
Mudryk (12'), Silva (53')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Rogers (88')
Crooks (40'), van den Berg (64')

The Match

Match Report

Chelsea hammer Middlesbrough 6-1 to emphatically book their place in the EFL Cup final at Wembley on February 25.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Chelsea and Middlesbrough.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Chelsea and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up in Tuesday's EFL Cup semi-final second leg with Middlesbrough.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup semi-final second leg with Middlesbrough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Fulham
Saturday, January 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 30.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawMiddlesbrough
45.23% (-0.389 -0.39) 24.45% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 30.32% (0.351 0.35)
Both teams to score 57.7% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.11% (0.020999999999994 0.02)44.88% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.76% (0.020000000000003 0.02)67.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.03% (-0.157 -0.16)19.96% (0.155 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.86% (-0.256 -0.26)52.13% (0.254 0.25)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (0.24900000000001 0.25)27.9% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (0.315 0.31)63.52% (-0.317 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 45.23%
    Middlesbrough 30.32%
    Draw 24.45%
ChelseaDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 45.23%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.45%
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.059 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.54% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.32%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Middlesbrough

Chelsea
81.9%
Draw
9.7%
Middlesbrough
8.3%
144
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Middlesbrough
1-0
Chelsea
Hackney (37')
Jones (90+3')

Colwill (30')
Mar 19, 2022 5.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Middlesbrough
0-2
Chelsea

Howson (87'), Peltier (89')
Lukaku (15'), Ziyech (31')
Nov 20, 2016 4pm
Feb 27, 2013 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
8Bournemouth167452421325
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
10Fulham166642422224
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Crystal Palace173771826-816
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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