MX23RW : Saturday, March 22 06:44:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 2, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Swansea logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 2
Swansea

Scarlett (88')
Sibley (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vipotnik (38'), Bianchini (80')
Tymon (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-0 Swansea City

Although both teams are going through a period where a win feels further way than it once did, we can only back Oxford to prevail from this contest courtesy of their impressive home record, one which comes accompanied with a strong defensive effort. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
34.92% (-0.398 -0.4) 26.09% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 38.99% (0.41999999999999 0.42)
Both teams to score 53.78% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (0.054000000000002 0.05)50.68% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (0.047000000000001 0.05)72.58% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18% (-0.215 -0.22)27.82% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (-0.276 -0.28)63.41% (0.273 0.27)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (0.251 0.25)25.49% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (0.343 0.34)60.32% (-0.345 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 34.92%
    Swansea City 38.99%
    Draw 26.09%
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.07% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.8% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.48% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.92%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 9.69% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.86% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.99%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Swansea

Oxford United
Draw
Swansea City
Oxford United
61.9%
Draw
26.2%
Swansea City
11.9%
42
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2023 7.30pm
Club Friendlies
Oxford Utd
1-0
Swansea
Browne (6')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Swansea
(Aggregate 2-2 | Oxford Utd win 5-3 on penalties)
Rodriguez (72'), Brannagan (90+3')
McGinty (7'), Browne (65')
Fulton (8'), Cullen (25')
Sorinola (76'), Cullen (82')
Jan 10, 2016 12pm
Third Round
Oxford Utd
3-2
Swansea
Sercombe (45' pen.), Roofe (49', 59')
Montero (23'), Gomis (66')
Grimes (39'), Amat (46'), Tabanou (52'), Shelvey (56')
Apr 15, 2005 3pm
Swansea
1-0
Oxford Utd
O'Leary (44')
Martinez (81')

Quinn (16'), Mackay (27'), Corbo (56')
Corbo (70')
Dec 8, 2004 3pm
Oxford Utd
0-1
Swansea

Robinson (4'), Ashton (50')
Ashton (60')
Goodfellow (61')
Gueret (36'), Monk (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds382311476255180
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd38257653282580
3Burnley382115252114178
4Sunderland381912755371869
5Coventry CityCoventry38178135548759
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom381318748341457
7Bristol City38141594941857
8Middlesbrough38159145748954
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn38157164240252
10Watford38157164751-452
11Millwall381312133739-251
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds38149155359-651
13Norwich CityNorwich381213136054649
14Preston North EndPreston381017113944-547
15Queens Park RangersQPR381112154450-645
16Swansea CitySwansea38128183849-1144
17Portsmouth38119184661-1542
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd381012163955-1642
19Hull City381011173947-841
20Stoke CityStoke38912173751-1439
21Cardiff CityCardiff38912174262-2039
22Derby CountyDerby38108204051-1138
23Luton TownLuton3898213460-2635
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38712194077-3733


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