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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 2, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Swansea logo

Oxford Utd
1 - 2
Swansea

Scarlett (88')
Sibley (32')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vipotnik (38'), Bianchini (80')
Tymon (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-0 Swansea City

Although both teams are going through a period where a win feels further way than it once did, we can only back Oxford to prevail from this contest courtesy of their impressive home record, one which comes accompanied with a strong defensive effort. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
34.92% (-0.398 -0.4) 26.09% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 38.99% (0.41999999999999 0.42)
Both teams to score 53.78% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (0.054000000000002 0.05)50.68% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (0.047000000000001 0.05)72.58% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18% (-0.215 -0.22)27.82% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (-0.276 -0.28)63.41% (0.273 0.27)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (0.251 0.25)25.49% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (0.343 0.34)60.32% (-0.345 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 34.92%
    Swansea City 38.99%
    Draw 26.09%
Oxford UnitedDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.07% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.8% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.48% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.92%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 9.69% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.48% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.86% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.99%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Swansea

Oxford United
61.9%
Draw
26.2%
Swansea City
11.9%
42
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2023 7.30pm
Club Friendlies
Oxford Utd
1-0
Swansea
Browne (6')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Swansea
(Aggregate 2-2 | Oxford Utd win 5-3 on penalties)
Rodriguez (72'), Brannagan (90+3')
McGinty (7'), Browne (65')
Fulton (8'), Cullen (25')
Sorinola (76'), Cullen (82')
Jan 10, 2016 12pm
Third Round
Oxford Utd
3-2
Swansea
Sercombe (45' pen.), Roofe (49', 59')
Montero (23'), Gomis (66')
Grimes (39'), Amat (46'), Tabanou (52'), Shelvey (56')
Apr 15, 2005 3pm
Swansea
1-0
Oxford Utd
O'Leary (44')
Martinez (81')

Quinn (16'), Mackay (27'), Corbo (56')
Corbo (70')
Dec 8, 2004 3pm
Oxford Utd
0-1
Swansea

Robinson (4'), Ashton (50')
Ashton (60')
Goodfellow (61')
Gueret (36'), Monk (60')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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