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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
38.61% ( 0.08) | 24.13% ( -0.06) | 37.25% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 60.96% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.47% ( 0.3) | 41.53% ( -0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.07% ( 0.3) | 63.93% ( -0.3) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.42% ( 0.17) | 21.58% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.33% ( 0.26) | 54.67% ( -0.27) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% ( 0.12) | 22.27% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.29% ( 0.18) | 55.71% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.62% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 37.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |