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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
NEC

Almere City
1 - 4
Nijmegen

van La Parra (19')
Resink (21')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sano (32'), Proper (45+2'), Ogawa (63'), Chery (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-0 Almere City
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-3 Feyenoord
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Almere City 1-1 NEC

There is little to play for heading into this weekend's contest, but we expect a keenly-contested affair nonetheless, with the sides matching each other over the course of the 90 minutes and settling for a share of the spoils in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
Almere CityDrawNEC
30.09% (1.473 1.47) 24.36% (0.584 0.58) 45.55% (-2.051 -2.05)
Both teams to score 57.89% (-1.042 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.42% (-1.8 -1.8)44.58% (1.804 1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.05% (-1.764 -1.76)66.95% (1.769 1.77)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (0.097999999999999 0.1)27.91% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.48% (0.122 0.12)63.53% (-0.117 -0.12)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3% (-1.551 -1.55)19.71% (1.556 1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.29% (-2.589 -2.59)51.71% (2.594 2.59)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 30.09%
    NEC 45.55%
    Draw 24.36%
Almere CityDrawNEC
2-1 @ 7.28% (0.249 0.25)
1-0 @ 7.02% (0.55 0.55)
2-0 @ 4.48% (0.362 0.36)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.158 0.16)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.09%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.37 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.5% (0.417 0.42)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.36%
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.261 0.26)
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-3 @ 5.01% (-0.346 -0.35)
0-3 @ 3.93% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 45.55%

How you voted: Almere City vs Nijmegen

Almere City
25.5%
Draw
38.2%
NEC
36.4%
55
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Nijmegen
1-1
Almere City
Mattsson (69')
van Rooij (26')
van Rooij (73')
Kitala (35')
Koopmeiners (20'), Hansen (90+3')
Apr 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Almere City
2-0
Nijmegen
Verheydt (18', 58' pen.)
Smeets (38')

Bukusu (16'), van Rooij (51')
Sep 20, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 4
Nijmegen
0-1
Almere City
Mirani (57')
Lesquoy (10'), Ahannach (83')
Apr 13, 2020 1.30pm
Dec 13, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 19
Nijmegen
2-3
Almere City
Balker (65' og.), Kvida (71')
Proper (79'), Flemming (90')
Efmorfidis (23'), Kip (34'), Verheydt (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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