Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
1 - 1
Napoli

Success (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Osimhen (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Udinese
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 2-2 Roma
Sunday, April 28 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Having drawn half of their league matches this season, Udinese could end up in Serie B as a result of failing to finish off ailing opponents. Napoli are often guilty of being wasteful in the final third, too, so a frustrating stalemate could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 21.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Napoli
21.15% ( -0.16)	23.24% ( 0.34)	55.61% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 52.69% (

-1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.71% (

-1.64)

47.3% (

1.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.48% (

-1.54)

69.52% (

1.55)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.37% (

-1.08)

36.63% (

1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.58% (

-1.1)

73.42% (

1.11)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.16% (

-0.64)

16.85% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.15% (

-1.16)

46.85% (

1.17)

Score Analysis

Udinese 21.15%

Napoli 55.61%

Draw 23.24%

Udinese	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.15%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.24%	0-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.51) 1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 5.84% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.1) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.09% Total : 55.61%