Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 14, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
We said: Napoli 3-1 Frosinone
Though Napoli remain inconsistent, Francesco Calzona has got them closer to their Scudetto-winning style than either of his two predecessors this season; as Frosinone routinely fail to deliver when on the road, all three points should be theirs for the taking.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 63.55% . A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 16.57% .
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.95% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.29%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%) , while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (4.61%) . The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood .
Result Napoli Draw Frosinone 63.55% ( 0.28) 19.87% ( -0.13) 16.57% ( -0.15)
Both teams to score 55.66% ( 0.15)
60.68% ( 0.35) 39.31% ( -0.35)
38.35% ( 0.36) 61.65% ( -0.36)
88.24% ( 0.18) 11.75% ( -0.18)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 63.08% ( 0.39) 36.91% ( -0.38)
63.07% ( 0.04) 36.93% ( -0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.28% ( 0.04) 73.72% ( -0.04)
Napoli 63.55%
Frosinone 16.57%
Draw 19.87%
Napoli Draw Frosinone 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.99% Total : 63.55% 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.94% 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.87% 1-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 16.57%
How you voted: Napoli vs Frosinone
50
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-26 06:45:07
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