Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Juventus |
40.31% ( 0.49) | 25.35% ( 0.04) | 34.34% ( -0.53) |
Both teams to score 56.18% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.45% ( -0.27) | 47.55% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.24% ( -0.24) | 69.75% ( 0.24) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% ( 0.13) | 23.39% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% ( 0.19) | 57.37% ( -0.19) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.34% ( -0.44) | 26.66% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.09% ( -0.58) | 61.91% ( 0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 40.31% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 37 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
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