Coppa Italia | Second Round
Sep 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli5 - 0Palermo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Juventus 0-0 Napoli
Saturday, September 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, September 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Palermo 0-0 Cesena
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie B
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie B
We said: Napoli 2-0 Palermo
Even Napoli's second string - if selected by Antonio Conte - has a strong look, since some summertime spending rejuvenated a slightly jaded squad. Therefore, the hosts should see off Palermo and move one step closer to Conte's objective of winning some silverware in his first season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Palermo |
63.39% ( 0.16) | 20.55% ( -0.02) | 16.06% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.14% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.61% ( -0.15) | 43.39% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.22% ( -0.15) | 65.78% ( 0.15) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.96% | 13.04% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.41% ( -0) | 39.59% ( 0.01) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.96% ( -0.26) | 40.04% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.31% ( -0.24) | 76.69% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
Napoli 63.38%
Palermo 16.06%
Draw 20.55%
| Napoli | Draw | Palermo |
| 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 63.38% | 1-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.55% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.9% Total : 16.06% |
How you voted: Napoli vs Palermo
Napoli
87.0%Draw
11.7%Palermo
1.3%77
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2017 7.45pm
Napoli
1-1
Palermo
Mertens (66')
Sep 10, 2016 7.45pm
Oct 28, 2015 7.45pm
Feb 14, 2015 7.45pm
