Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Jan 15, 2022 at 4pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
1 - 2
Lens

Boudebouz (38')
Silva (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sotoca (77'), Fofana (90+4')
Gradit (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Saint-Etienne and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Saint-Etienne 1-2 Lens

Lens' abysmal form on the road may make this a trickier encounter than some of the visiting crop believe, with Dupraz desperate to see the new manager bounce take effect on home soil. However, underestimating Lens since their return to the top flight in 2020 has often proved fatal, and we do not expect the lowly hosts' fortunes to improve against the European challengers blessed with most of their big-hitters available. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 22.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lens in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lens.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Lens
22.09%	23.3%	54.6%

Both teams to score 53.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.56%

46.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.28%

68.73%

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.76%

35.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.01%

71.99%

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.1%

16.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.06%

46.94%

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 22.09%

Lens 54.6%

Draw 23.3%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 6.21% 2-1 @ 5.76% 2-0 @ 3.24% 3-1 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.98% Total : 22.09%	1-1 @ 11.04% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 5.12% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.3%	0-1 @ 10.58% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-2 @ 9.41% 1-3 @ 5.82% 0-3 @ 5.58% 2-3 @ 3.03% 1-4 @ 2.59% 0-4 @ 2.48% 2-4 @ 1.35% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.02% Total : 54.6%