Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Exeter City and Newport County.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Exeter
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Charlton Athletic | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 9 | Exeter City | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Bolton Wanderers | 6 | 0 | 8 |
Last Game: Harrogate 0-4 Newport
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Tranmere Rovers | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 16 | Newport County | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 17 | Swindon Town | 6 | 0 | 7 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Newport County |
40.16% ( 0) | 26.05% | 33.79% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 53.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
