EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
0 - 0
Exeter

Ehmer (13')

Sweeney (20'), Stubbs (81')

Gillingham win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Gillingham and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

Last Six:

Last Game: Gillingham 0-0 Walsall
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Newport County	5	-3	4
20	Gillingham	5	-6	4
21	Stockport County	5	-3	3

Exeter City

Last Six:

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Derby County	5	1	8
9	Exeter City	5	4	7
10	Cambridge United	5	-2	7

We said: Gillingham 1-2 Exeter City

While Exeter City have struggled to put together a fine run of form, they head into Tuesday's contest as slight favourites. They are unbeaten in four consecutive games against the Gills and we predict they will extend their recent dominance in the history of this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Exeter City
29.56% ( 0.01)	25.98% ( 0.01)	44.46% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.27% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.22% (

-0.02)

51.78% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.45% (

-0.02)

73.55% (

0.02)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.06%

31.94% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.61% (

-0)

68.39% (

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.8% (

-0.02)

23.2% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.9% (

-0.03)

57.1% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Gillingham 29.56%

Exeter City 44.46%

Draw 25.97%

Gillingham	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.56%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 10.82% 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.46%