EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 2
Gillingham

Assal (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mandron (90'), Green (90+2')
Ehmer (43'), Reeves (69'), Green (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between AFC Wimbledon and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

Last Six:

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Stevenage	2	2	6
6	AFC Wimbledon	2	2	4
7	Salford City	2	2	4

Gillingham

Last Six:

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Harrogate Town	2	0	3
12	Gillingham	2	-1	3
13	Mansfield Town	2	-1	3

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Gillingham

Gillingham have failed to win any of their last four visits to the Cherry Red Records Stadium, losing three and managing one draw since a 4-2 win in March 2019. Wimbledon have enjoyed the better of this fixture and we are backing them to come away with a slender victory once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Gillingham
40.3% ( -0.01)	28.56%	31.13% ( 0)

Both teams to score 45.4% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.15%

60.85% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.12% (

-0)

80.88% (

-0)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.44% (

-0)

29.56% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.41% (

-0)

65.58% (

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.45% (

35.54% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.69% (

72.31% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 40.3%

Gillingham 31.12%

Draw 28.55%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 12.8% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 7.8% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.51% Total : 40.3%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.55%	0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.36% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 31.12%